TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:00 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and Arizona, scheduled for October 3 at 11:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and Arizona, scheduled for October 3 at 11:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. If you observe a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa. It's a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the current beliefs of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Cincinnati vs. Arizona game, as officially recorded by sports authorities. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Cincinnati or a win for Arizona – is the correct one. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive payouts based on the odds at the time of their trade.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bengals or the Cardinals would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations. As the game approaches, any updates from reliable sources will be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to substantial shifts in the odds.