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Cincinnati vs Arizona: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cincinnati vs Arizona?

Volume:
$35,609

Arizona wins by over 1.5 points

 - Kalshi

Arizona wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:25 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,965
N/A
N/A
$4,951
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,611
N/A
N/A
$3,560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,719
N/A
N/A
$2,771
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,073
N/A
N/A
$3,049
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,486
N/A
N/A
$2,942
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,566
N/A
N/A
$2,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,547
N/A
N/A
$2,402
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,979
N/A
N/A
$1,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,344
N/A
N/A
$1,342
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,229
N/A
N/A
$982
Settled
No
kalshi

Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,091
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in an upcoming college football game, specifically how much one team might outscore the other in that final period. Each market represents a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cincinnati vs Arizona college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the listed team must win the fourth quarter by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 4th quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing whether Cincinnati will win the 4th quarter by more or less than 3.5 points. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to see how the market has moved over time. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $28,442, and the total overall volume traded, which is $35,609. This provides insight into the level of interest and activity surrounding this particular market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Cincinnati versus Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, determining whether Cincinnati won the 4th quarter by more than 3.5 points, or not. The winning contracts will then be paid out to those who correctly predicted the spread.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key defensive players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and move the price. Public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks may also play a role, though this market is driven by its own participants.