TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cincinnati vs. Arizona
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Cincinnati vs. Arizona?

Volume:
$543,729

Spread -6.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -6.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:37 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,150
N/A
N/A
$3,872
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -4.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 points

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$558
N/A
N/A
$558
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
$406
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 27.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,659
N/A
N/A
$51,460
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cincinnati vs. Arizona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 30.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,267
N/A
N/A
$33,467
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,642
N/A
N/A
$15,783
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 228

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a kickoff or punt return touchdown occurring in the college football game between Cincinnati and Arizona. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 100.0% for this outcome to occur, as determined by official results reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. This aggregated view combines insights from multiple sources into a single forecast. Keep an eye on the game itself, as resolution will occur following the completion of the game on October 4, 2026, to determine if a kickoff or punt return touchdown is scored.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in scope and resolution timing, including a date discrepancy. Kalshi markets appear to be for a future game in 2026, while Polymarket markets are for the current game.Hero tip: Exercise extreme caution. The date discrepancy makes Kalshi markets unreliable for predicting the outcome of the current Cincinnati vs. Arizona game. Focus on Polymarket markets for accurate resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official outcome of the Cincinnati vs. Arizona game scheduled for October 3, 2024, including overtime. Resolution occurs after the game's completion.
  • Kalshi: Markets focus on specific in-game statistics (e.g., first-half points) for a game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Resolution is based on final game statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and Arizona, scheduled for October 3 at 11:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

All markets assess whether the combined points scored by both teams in the first half of the Cincinnati vs Arizona college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 41.5 points. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total first-half points surpass its respective threshold. For all markets, only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates predictions on the Cincinnati vs. Arizona game from multiple platforms, offering a consensus view of potential outcomes. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $543,729, with $172,813 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Kalshi both offer markets on this game, allowing traders to express their beliefs about the final result. The dashboard provides a unified interface to monitor price movements and understand the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding this contest. It’s a useful tool for anyone interested in the predictive odds surrounding the Cincinnati vs. Arizona game.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade their opinion. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources, and arbitrage opportunities sometimes arise due to these differences. However, liquidity can be lower in prediction markets, impacting ease of entry and exit.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, which can influence trading behavior. Furthermore, the specific market structures offered on each platform—such as different contract types or liquidity provisions—can lead to price discrepancies. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform typically indicates greater price discovery and potentially more accurate odds. Finally, differing opinions on the likelihood of various game outcomes can contribute to price variations between Polymarket and Kalshi.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions affecting game play could also move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in betting odds from traditional sportsbooks, can influence trading activity on Polymarket and Kalshi. Major news events or controversies surrounding either team could also introduce volatility. As the game draws closer, any updates on team lineups or pre-game analysis will likely contribute to shifts in the market’s price.