TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Cincinnati and Arizona, specifically how many points each team might win by during that period. The markets cover various point spreads, allowing participants to assess the potential margin of victory for either team in the latter half of the game.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Cincinnati vs Arizona college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the winning team exceeds that threshold. Only points scored in the second half count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more efficient price discovery process. However, differences can exist due to varying levels of information and differing motivations between prediction market participants and sportsbook operators. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Cincinnati vs Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the NFL. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the Bengals vs Cardinals spread between now and Oct 4, 2026. Key injuries to starting players on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any major changes in team strategy or coaching decisions. Unexpected news regarding player availability, weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and potentially shift the price.