TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins scheduled for October 11, 2026. If the team's actual points exceed the threshold listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their lines, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, without an inherent profit margin for the market maker. While sportsbook odds are influenced by the bookmaker's analysis and risk management, here, prices are determined by supply and demand. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion between bettors and prediction market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective prediction of all participants. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. The current price reflects the market's assessment of the likelihood of the combined team total exceeding the specified threshold.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official combined total score of both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Miami Dolphins as reported by official league sources. The market will determine whether the combined total score is above or below the pre-defined threshold. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or significant defensive players on either team would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift prices. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or unexpected turnovers, will also create volatility. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting activity, could impact the price of contracts in this market.