TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins?

Volume:
$22,734

MIA Dolphins wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:16 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,420
N/A
N/A
$1,694
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,360
N/A
N/A
$2,252
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,283
N/A
N/A
$2,272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,034
N/A
N/A
$1,642
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MIA Dolphins wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,860
N/A
N/A
$1,731
Settled
Yes
kalshi

CIN Bengals wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,156
N/A
N/A
$2,836
Settled
No
kalshi

CIN Bengals wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,097
N/A
N/A
$2,027
Settled
No
kalshi

CIN Bengals wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,825
N/A
N/A
$1,780
Settled
No
kalshi

CIN Bengals wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,562
N/A
N/A
$1,420
Settled
No
kalshi

CIN Bengals wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,204
N/A
N/A
$1,204
Settled
No
kalshi

CIN Bengals wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$901
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks how decisively either team wins during the final quarter of a football game, focusing solely on points scored in that period. It allows participants to speculate on the margin of victory restricted to the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential occurring in the 4th quarter of the designated Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins game, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that must be exceeded by either team for a 'Yes' resolution. Markets range from thresholds as low as 1.5 points for Cincinnati to thresholds as high as 10.5 points for Miami, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance anticipated in the final quarter. The outcome hinges entirely on the scoring margin achieved during this specific segment of the game, with no regard to the overall game result or points scored in earlier quarters.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bengals-Dolphins 4th quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the game. You'll find a real-time view of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $18,009. The total volume traded on this market is $22,734. This allows you to see how confidence in different outcomes is shifting as more information becomes available and traders express their views.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. Buyers are expressing confidence in that spread, while sellers are betting against it. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Bengals-Dolphins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will determine the payout of all contracts within this market.

Several factors could influence the Bengals-Dolphins 4th quarter spread market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy, could also lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding events.