TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points during the third quarter of an upcoming football game. It highlights the importance of short-term performance over the full game outcome, offering insight into potential momentum shifts within a specific segment of play.
If Miami wins the 3rd Quarter of the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins the 3rd Quarter of the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market's prices are determined by actual trading activity. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the third quarter, the price for that outcome will increase. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds being more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about which team will win the third quarter. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the third quarter of the Bengals versus Dolphins game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and results as reported by authoritative sports news sources. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Bengals or the Dolphins would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters – including scoring drives, turnovers, and defensive stops – will undoubtedly cause the market to react as traders adjust their predictions based on the unfolding events. Unexpected coaching decisions could also move the market.