TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming NFL game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Miami Dolphins. The outcome depends solely on second-half performance, ignoring any points scored in the first half. If both teams finish the second half with equal scores, the result is considered a tie.
If Miami wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—and sometimes diverging from—traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others, can offer a different perspective, as traders weigh information and express their beliefs directly through their trades. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions, providing potential value for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second half of the Bengals versus Dolphins game will be declared the winner. The result will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bengals or the Dolphins would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant showing by one team, could lead to a shift in probabilities. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports commentators could sway trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.