TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Cincinnati Bengals will win their professional football game against the Miami Dolphins. Currently, Kalshi gives Cincinnati an 88.0% probability of winning, while Miami is at 13.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the final result on October 11, 2026 will determine the market’s resolution.
If Miami wins the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins the CIN Bengals vs MIA Dolphins Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as they are less influenced by house biases or marketing strategies. However, sportsbook odds still provide a valuable benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the strength of conviction behind each prediction. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bengals-Dolphins game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on the established rules of the game. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bengals or the Dolphins would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also move the market. Finally, any unexpected developments related to team strategies or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the prices in this market.