TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Cieza and Granada, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's official result as defined by the governing league.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Cieza vs Granada professional Copa del Rey soccer match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Cieza win, Granada win, or a tie—all determined exclusively within regulation time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team form, injuries, or other factors influencing the Cieza vs Granada match. Comparing these odds can reveal where the market and sportsbooks diverge in their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Cieza vs Granada match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time signal of expectations. The current top market is for a regulation time win by Cieza, though the probability is subject to change based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cieza vs Granada match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official regulation time moneyline result – which team wins the match within the standard 90 minutes of play, plus any added stoppage time. No extra time or penalty shootouts are considered for this market. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cieza or Granada would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the availability of star players or changes in coaching staff could also move the market. Monitoring these signals provides insight into potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each outcome in the Cieza vs Granada match.