TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a basketball game between Cibona and Igokea in the ABA League. The markets ask forecasters to predict which team will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 30 at 1:30PM ET: If the Cibona win, the market will resolve to "Cibona". If the Igokea win, the market will resolve to "Igokea". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If KK Cibona wins the Igokea Aleksandrovac vs KK Cibona men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Igokea Aleksandrovac wins the Igokea Aleksandrovac vs KK Cibona men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow individuals to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It's important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to assess where the market may be mispricing the event. The current volume of $11,023 shows active trading in this market.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differing levels of liquidity and information availability can lead to discrepancies. For example, Polymarket currently favors a particular outcome at a certain probability, while Kalshi may lean towards a different result based on its unique market participants and available information. These variations are normal and reflect the independent nature of each market.