TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:35 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:35 AM ET.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:35 AM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes there's an edge, or where sportsbooks might be mispricing the likelihood of a particular result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Chinese Super League match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, providing a dynamic and transparent assessment of expectations. The current price reflects the aggregated judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Chinese Super League match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers, accounting for any potential rule changes or unforeseen circumstances that may affect the final score. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed according to the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant performance changes in recent matches are also likely to impact the price of shares. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team winning will likely cause the market to react, creating potential trading opportunities before the Oct 11, 2026 resolution.