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$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate events before they are fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each halftime result. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Chongqing vs. Shandong match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official halftime result of the Chongqing vs. Shandong match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result will be determined by the official score at the midpoint of the game, as declared by the governing football league. The platform will then verify this information to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant for resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game events during the first half, such as early goals, red cards, or dominant performances by either team, would also likely cause substantial price movements. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also impact how traders assess the probabilities of each halftime result.