TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Shandong Taishan. Bettors can speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie, based on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event determines the winner of a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Shandong Taishan, scheduled for October 11, 2026. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, a win for Shandong Taishan, or a tie. The resolution is based solely on the result after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve at a fair price. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes, with the 'Tie' market resolving positively if the game ends level after regulation time. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as new information and diverse viewpoints are incorporated. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds than those available elsewhere.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chinese Super League match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, indicating the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current market reflects the aggregated intelligence of those participating, and the price movements signal shifts in expectations as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Chinese Super League match between Chongqing Tonglianglong FC and Shandong Taishan, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Chongqing Tonglianglong FC or Shandong Taishan would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also move the market. Any information perceived as altering the probability of either team winning will be reflected in the price fluctuations.