TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30PM ET: If the Cholet win, the market will resolve to "Cholet". If the Chalon/Saone win, the market will resolve to "Chalon/Saone". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30PM ET: If the Cholet win, the market will resolve to "Cholet". If the Chalon/Saone win, the market will resolve to "Chalon/Saone". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse viewpoints and incentivize informed trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the French basketball game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final score and the outcome they predicted. It’s important to monitor news sources and official game results leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected performance in prior games, shifts in team momentum, or even weather conditions could also influence traders’ beliefs. Major announcements related to the teams or the league, such as rule changes or disciplinary actions, could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds on Polymarket before the game takes place.