TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:41 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two national teams competing in an international friendly, where each aims to score during the regular period of play, including any added stoppage time, to demonstrate their offensive capabilities. The encounter serves as a preparatory event for both sides, allowing them to assess their performance under competitive conditions. Such fixtures often highlight strategic adjustments and player fitness ahead of more critical competitions.
If China and Tajikistan both score a goal in the China vs Tajikistan Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It is common to see discrepancies, especially before a substantial amount of volume is traded, as the market seeks to establish a consensus view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders can place buy and sell orders at any price, and the market price reflects the best available bids and offers. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate to reflect the collective expectation of whether both teams will score in the China vs Tajikistan match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability, as perceived by the market participants, that the outcome will occur.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both China and Tajikistan score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine the final result and settle this market. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either China or Tajikistan would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and any unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market on Kalshi.