TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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China vs Tajikistan
kalshi

What is the result of China vs Tajikistan?

Volume:
$1,127,836

Tajikistan

 - Kalshi

Tajikistan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 9:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tajikistan

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$525,730
N/A
N/A
$215,810
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$338,465
N/A
N/A
$194,992
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$263,640
N/A
N/A
$146,696
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Tajikistan will win its upcoming international friendly soccer match against China. Currently, Kalshi gives Tajikistan a 92.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official result of the China vs Tajikistan professional Intl Friendlies soccer game. Keep an eye on the starting lineups announced prior to the October 6, 2026 kickoff, as they may indicate each team’s approach to this friendly match.

Kalshi

These markets resolve according to the outcome of the China vs Tajikistan professional international friendly soccer match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. If China wins, the 'China' market resolves to Yes; if Tajikistan wins, the 'Tajikistan' market resolves to Yes; and if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours from the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price per the platform's guidelines.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the China vs Tajikistan match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $1,127,836. The 24-hour volume is $917,914, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely result of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can provide a broader understanding of the potential outcomes of the China vs Tajikistan match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the China vs Tajikistan match. The price of each contract reflects the current probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the result. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the China vs Tajikistan match as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure a fair and accurate settlement.

Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or political developments impacting travel arrangements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, could also move the market. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential price fluctuations for the China vs Tajikistan match.