TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Nikola Bartunkova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Nikola Bartunkova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks or when accounting for biases in public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price efficiently reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sinja Kraus versus Nikola Bartunkova match as reported by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be based on the official score and any applicable rules governing the event. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market often corrects for biases. Major shifts in betting volume could also indicate new information or changing perspectives on the likely winner.