TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Dayana Yastremska in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Dayana Yastremska. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Dayana Yastremska in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' if Sinja Kraus advances against Dayana Yastremska. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Sinja Kraus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise to assess where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers, but remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the market's consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information, such as injury reports or changes in playing conditions. This dynamic pricing allows traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the result of the Kraus vs Yastremska match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open match between Sinja Kraus and Dayana Yastremska, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to note that any potential postponements or cancellations of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will ultimately be based on the official result when available.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to either Sinja Kraus or Dayana Yastremska would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions at the China Open, particularly if they favor one player’s style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches leading up to their encounter, or even news about coaching changes, could influence trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in the price of shares. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also indirectly affect the perceived value of each player.