TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Linda Noskova will win her match against Ekaterina Alexandrova at the China Open. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “China Open: Completed Match: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova”, while the second outcome, “China Open: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova”, is at 0.1%. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores page at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET, as that is when the outcome will become clear and this market will resolve.
This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Linda Noskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven by traders willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and discrepancies aren’t uncommon due to differing information and risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome – either Linda Noskova winning or Ekaterina Alexandrova winning. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's result. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open match between Linda Noskova and Ekaterina Alexandrova, as reported by the tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the winner of the match according to the official tournament results. The platform will then verify the result and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Linda Noskova or Ekaterina Alexandrova, would likely cause significant shifts. Match previews from tennis analysts and expert opinions could also sway traders’ beliefs. Unexpected weather conditions at the China Open could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over the other. Finally, early results from other matches in the tournament could influence perceptions of overall player confidence and momentum.