TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 4:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Karolina Muchova will advance against Nikola Bartunkova in their China Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “China Open: Completed Match: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on October 7, 2026, as this will confirm whether the match proceeds as scheduled and begin the resolution window.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and adjust prices based on new information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there is considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket often converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and market participants refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open women's match between Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting from reputable sports news sources. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome of the match. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several signals or events could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player could also lead to adjustments in the market price. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential changes in the market’s assessment of the likely winner of the China Open women's match.