TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Francisco Cerundolo will advance against Jakub Mensik in their China Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Francisco Cerundolo winning the match. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match result itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the fixture scheduled for October 2, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. As such, the odds here can sometimes be more efficient, reflecting a purer assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis, and this can create opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik as reported by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match. Any potential delays or changes to the match schedule will be taken into consideration to ensure a fair and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the match. News regarding player injuries or changes in form would likely have a significant impact. Any updates on playing conditions, such as weather forecasts or court surface changes, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from tennis experts and public sentiment expressed on social media can all contribute to price movements. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also affect trader confidence and influence the direction of this market.