TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Diana Shnaider in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Diana Shnaider in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers in their assessment of the Alexandrova vs Shnaider match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, reflecting the evolving expectations of the crowd regarding the Alexandrova vs Shnaider match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Alexandrova vs Shnaider match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, reflecting the actual event outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the China Open tournament might also lead to reassessments of player form and confidence. Any significant development related to either Ekaterina Alexandrova or Diana Shnaider has the potential to move this market considerably before Oct 11, 2026.