TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Mertens/Shnaider and Lumsden/Panova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mertens/Shnaider' if the team of Mertens/Shnaider advances against Lumsden/Panova. This market will resolve to 'Lumsden/Panova' if the team of Lumsden/Panova advances against Mertens/Shnaider. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Mertens/Shnaider and Lumsden/Panova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mertens/Shnaider' if the team of Mertens/Shnaider advances against Lumsden/Panova. This market will resolve to 'Lumsden/Panova' if the team of Lumsden/Panova advances against Mertens/Shnaider. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds, such as those for this market, tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or marketing considerations into their lines, while Polymarket allows traders to express their independent assessments. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information available to each group and varying risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open doubles match between Mertens/Shnaider and Lumsden/Panova. The winning team as declared by the tournament organizers will determine the payout of shares on Polymarket. Traders holding shares in the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could create noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026.