TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between McNally/Tjen and Bartunkova/Chwalinska in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'McNally/Tjen' if the team of McNally/Tjen advances against Bartunkova/Chwalinska. This market will resolve to 'Bartunkova/Chwalinska' if the team of Bartunkova/Chwalinska advances against McNally/Tjen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between McNally/Tjen and Bartunkova/Chwalinska in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'McNally/Tjen' if the team of McNally/Tjen advances against Bartunkova/Chwalinska. This market will resolve to 'Bartunkova/Chwalinska' if the team of Bartunkova/Chwalinska advances against McNally/Tjen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who have financial incentives to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, the prediction market odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe McNally/Tjen will win, the higher the price of shares representing their victory will climb, and vice versa for shares representing a win for Bartunkova/Chwalinska. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open doubles match between McNally/Tjen and Bartunkova/Chwalinska as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine which team emerged victorious and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament updates for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team composition would likely have a significant impact. Updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments, or even weather conditions at the China Open, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis from tennis experts predicting a change in momentum, might also cause fluctuations in the market price as traders reassess the probabilities of each team winning the China Open doubles match.