TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Donna Vekic will advance against Iga Swiatek in their China Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “China Open: Completed Match: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores website at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on October 4, 2026, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of this fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Donna Vekic and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Donna Vekic' if Donna Vekic advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Donna Vekic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin, and may be influenced by marketing or public perception. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge due to varying information sources and analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect more nuanced probabilities than standard betting lines.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open match between Donna Vekic and Iga Swiatek, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics for either Donna Vekic or Iga Swiatek could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the China Open, or even broader tennis news impacting player form, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities.