TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the outcome. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo, as reported by official tournament sources. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be based on the official scoreline. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even weather forecasts could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even comments from the players themselves, could also shift the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket can also create price movements, reflecting changes in sentiment and expectations about the China Open tennis match.