TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Coco Gauff will advance against Xinran Sun in their China Open tennis match, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “China Open: Completed Match: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun.” The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores page at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match start time on October 4, 2026, as this will indicate whether the match proceeds and the market can resolve.
This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Xinran Sun in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Xinran Sun. This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Coco Gauff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see this market offer a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though sportsbook odds provide another useful data point for comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the China Open women's match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open women's match, as reported by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player wins, based on the official scoreline. The platform will then finalize the payouts to traders who correctly predicted the result of this exciting competition.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even unexpected announcements about team strategies could cause shifts in the odds. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches or tournaments could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other parts of the tournament bracket could indirectly affect perceptions of the players’ chances, leading to adjustments in the market price as traders react to new information.