TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 4:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Coco Gauff will advance against Elise Mertens in their China Open match, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “China Open: Completed Match: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens”. The resolution source for this market is the official WTA Tennis scores page at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the fixture scheduled for October 6, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Coco Gauff and Elise Mertens in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Coco Gauff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. It's common to see prediction markets quickly adjust to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as the match draws nearer. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into market perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open match between Coco Gauff and Elise Mertens as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, live updates during the match itself, such as a player gaining an early lead or facing difficulties, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring tennis news and live scores will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.