TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alina Charaeva will complete a match against Qinwen Zheng in the China Open tennis tournament. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “China Open: Completed Match: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET, as this is when the event window begins and the potential for resolution starts.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Qinwen Zheng in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Qinwen Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Alina Charaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, while sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for anyone looking to make informed predictions about the China Open match, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the China Open match between Alina Charaeva and Qinwen Zheng, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market, and the platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the market for the China Open match. News regarding player injuries or changes in form leading up to the match would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or other logistical issues impacting the tournament could also play a role. Additionally, any major upsets in other matches within the tournament could influence perceptions of player momentum and overall competitiveness, impacting trading activity in this market. Public sentiment and expert analysis surrounding the players' chances could also contribute to price movements.