TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:27 PM EST
Polymarket
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Raiders, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Raiders, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or the influence of public opinion, creating potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than traditional sources.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Chiefs-Raiders game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official player statistics released by the NFL. These statistics will determine whether each player prop over/under was successful. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders holding shares in the winning outcome(s) based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in the preceding games or reports on player practice habits could also influence the odds. Major media coverage or analysis focusing on specific player matchups could also drive trading activity. Keep an eye on these signals as they unfold, as they’re likely to create opportunities within this market.