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420,493

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Chiefs vs. Raiders
polymarket

What is the result of Chiefs vs Raiders?

Volume:
$7,499,992

Chiefs vs. Raiders

 - Polymarket

Chiefs vs. Raiders - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 8:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chiefs vs. Raiders

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,003,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 48.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$206,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 44.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 40.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 50.5

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 52.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 42.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,809
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 38.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 34.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,592
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiefs O/U 10.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 54.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiefs O/U 26.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 22.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Raiders O/U 20.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q Spread -2.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 36.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 28.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q Spread -2.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 313

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the spread for the NFL game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders on Polymarket. Currently, the market assigns a 100.0% probability to the Chiefs covering the -1.5 spread, with a 0.1% probability assigned to the Chiefs covering the -4.5 spread. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader positioning and liquidity dynamics. While sportsbooks may reflect broader public betting trends, this market captures the nuanced outlook of Polymarket participants. The gap can widen or narrow based on news, injuries, or shifting momentum, so comparing both sources offers a fuller picture of market expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official game record, closing the market once the final score is beyond dispute. Timing depends on when authoritative sources publish the confirmed result post-game.

Injuries, coaching decisions, and key performance trends can shift this market as the game approaches. Quarterback efficiency, defensive adjustments, and even weather conditions may influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster changes or headline news will prompt rapid price reactions on Polymarket, so monitoring pre-game analysis and practice reports is crucial for spotting movement.