TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.8b

24H VOL:

$102,639,054

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,604,186,899

483,972

Markets across

36,666

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Chiefs vs. Dolphins
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chiefs vs. Dolphins?

Volume:
$22,109,672

Kansas City

 - Kalshi

Kansas City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kansas City

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,370,676
N/A
N/A
$4,018,417
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiefs vs. Dolphins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,316,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,421,851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$396,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$307,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$196,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$183,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$157,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$131,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$126,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$10,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiefs O/U 20.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiefs O/U 10.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$1,180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -4.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.1¢
N/A
$1,089
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 30.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 24.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 28.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Spread -6.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 26.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 313

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the point spread for the NFL game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins. Currently, the consensus probability that the Chiefs will cover the -10.5 spread is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on the official results reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. Be sure to follow the NFL schedule, as markets resolve based on the game scheduled for September 27th, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market references a game date in 2026, while all other markets reference the 2024 game. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as it refers to a future event.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is based on an incorrect game date. Focus on Polymarket for accurate resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the NFL game between the Chiefs and Dolphins scheduled for September 27th, 2024. Includes rules for postponement, cancellation, and ties.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the NFL game between the Chiefs and Dolphins scheduled for September 27th, 2026. This is a future date and renders the market invalid for the intended event.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the professional football game between Kansas City and Miami originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Chiefs-Dolphins game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $22,109,672 and a 24-hour volume of $19,549,968. By tracking these markets, we provide a unique perspective on the likely result of the game, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show differing levels of confidence in the outcome, providing a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect a broader range of information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as market participants are incentivized to find and act on any informational edge. While sportsbooks may initially influence this market, the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi can often lead to odds that diverge from those offered elsewhere.