TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains prediction markets on the statistical performance of players in the NFL game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos on November 1, 2023. Markets cover passing yards, touchdowns, rushing yards, and first touchdown scorer.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Broncos, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Broncos, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. The current volume of $46,918 indicates active trading and evolving opinions on this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can occur for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Chiefs-Broncos matchup. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific player props offered and the way they are structured may differ slightly between the two venues, influencing how traders assess the probabilities. These factors contribute to the distinct pricing signals observed on each platform.