TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Strikeouts
kalshi

Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Strikeouts

Volume:
$109,391

Hagen Smith: 2+

 - Kalshi

Hagen Smith: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 3:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 2+

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,135
N/A
N/A
$10,668
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Messick: 6+

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,511
N/A
N/A
$5,472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,928
N/A
N/A
$4,501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Messick: 5+

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,473
N/A
N/A
$4,993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 4+

100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,597
N/A
N/A
$2,805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Messick: 4+

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,703
N/A
N/A
$2,223
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 1+

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
$982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Messick: 7+

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,353
N/A
N/A
$15,617
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 9+

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,991
N/A
N/A
$9,395
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 10+

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,429
N/A
N/A
$8,569
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 8+

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,301
N/A
N/A
$6,601
Settled
No
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 5+

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,541
N/A
N/A
$6,643
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 11+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,554
N/A
N/A
$4,554
Settled
No
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 6+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,480
N/A
N/A
$3,331
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets focus on the performance of a specific pitcher in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. The outcomes depend entirely on the pitcher's ability to record a certain number of strikeouts during his start. If the pitcher does not start or is removed before facing any batters, the markets adjust to reflect fair market value instead of the raw performance metric.

Kalshi

All markets evaluate whether Parker Messick, the starting pitcher for Chicago WS, records a specified minimum number of strikeouts in the game against Cleveland on October 3, 2026. If Messick is scratched or does not start, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If he enters the game in relief, these markets also resolve to the fair market price, as relief appearances do not count toward strikeouts for settlement purposes. Only strikeouts accumulated while Messick is a starting pitcher and has faced at least one batter are considered for determining market outcomes. Each market has a distinct threshold for strikeouts (ranging from 4 to 11), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if Messick meets or exceeds that threshold during his start. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.