TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Spread
kalshi

Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Spread

Volume:
$1,866,464

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 8:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,070,341
N/A
N/A
$623,563
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275,769
N/A
N/A
$114,824
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235,251
N/A
N/A
$109,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108,046
N/A
N/A
$55,054
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,674
N/A
N/A
$41,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,296
N/A
N/A
$59,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 4.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,087
N/A
N/A
$5,542
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in a head-to-head matchup, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team manages to win by a specific number of runs or more compared to their opponent. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the game.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional baseball game between Chicago WS and Cleveland, scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT, based on the margin of victory. If Cleveland wins by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs, respective markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Chicago WS wins by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs, those markets resolve to Yes. Each market specifies a different run differential threshold, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in the game. All markets are independent, and the resolution is strictly based on the final score difference, regardless of other game factors. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.