TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Spread
kalshi

Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Spread

Volume:
$666,562

Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$186,119
N/A
N/A
$82,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$119,103
N/A
N/A
$60,973
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,565
N/A
N/A
$118,382
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,444
N/A
N/A
$57,506
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,289
N/A
N/A
$30,111
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,886
N/A
N/A
$17,569
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS wins by over 4.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,157
N/A
N/A
$14,132
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the performance of two Major League Baseball teams in a head-to-head matchup, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes in regulation or extra innings.

Kalshi

The event consists of six separate markets, each defining a different run differential threshold for resolution. Markets 1, 2, and 3 cover Cleveland’s potential victories by margins exceeding 3.5, 2.5, and 1.5 runs respectively. Markets 4, 5, and 6 address Chicago WS’s potential victories by margins exceeding 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 runs respectively. All markets resolve based solely on the final confirmed score of the game scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 1:00 PM EDT, with no adjustments for cancellations, forfeits, or official changes to the matchup. Each market operates independently; a participant’s position in one market does not affect outcomes in others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.