Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Earned Runs

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether starting pitcher Gavin Williams allows increasing numbers of earned runs in the Chicago White Sox versus Cleveland Guardians game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Four separate outcome thresholds are offered (1+, 2+, 3+, and 4+ earned runs). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Williams must be a starting pitcher who faces at least one batter and allows the specified number of earned runs during his appearance. If Williams is scratched, not a starter, or enters the game in relief, all markets resolve at fair market price regardless of actual performance. The settlement strictly considers earned runs allowed while Williams is the starting pitcher, with no credit or penalty for post-starting appearances or other pitching changes.