TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Earned Runs
kalshi

Chicago WS vs Cleveland: Earned Runs

Volume:
$1,109

Parker Messick: 2+

 - Kalshi

Parker Messick: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 3:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Parker Messick: 2+

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
$680
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parker Messick: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 3+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Messick: 4+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hagen Smith: 2+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of a specific pitcher in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. The focus is on how many earned runs the pitcher allows during his appearance. Outcomes depend on whether the pitcher starts the game and the number of earned runs he concedes.

Kalshi

The event centers on Parker Messick's performance as a starting pitcher in the Chicago White Sox versus Cleveland Guardians game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Markets resolve based on the number of earned runs he allows, with separate outcomes for 1+, 2+, 3+, and 4+ earned runs. If Messick is scratched or does not start, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If he enters the game in a non-starting role, markets also resolve to the fair market price, with relief appearances excluded from consideration. Only when Messick starts and faces at least one batter do the markets settle based on the earned runs he records during his outing. The operator disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.