TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Chicago White Sox team total will be over or under 5.5 runs in their game against the Cleveland Guardians. Currently, the probability of “Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 5.5” being true is 99.0% on Polymarket, with resolution based on data from https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 10 at 5:00PM ET, as this will directly determine the market’s resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 10 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If there’s a significant difference, it might suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's a useful comparison point for anyone following the game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This creates a dynamic pricing model driven by supply and demand, offering a unique insight into the perceived probabilities surrounding the White Sox vs. Guardians game. The current volume indicates strong interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the game between the White Sox and the Guardians, as reported by a major sports news source. The platform will verify this information to determine which outcome wins, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses to understand how the resolution is approaching.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even pre-game analysis from respected baseball analysts, can also impact the odds. Major in-game events, such as early scoring or dominant pitching performances, will likely lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding situation. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone actively participating in this market.