TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the first 5 innings of the Chicago White Sox versus Cleveland Guardians baseball game will be over or under 2.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5”. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 5 at 5:00PM ET, as the outcome of the first five innings will directly determine the market’s resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 5 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional offers, which can skew the lines. This market, driven by informed traders, tends to reflect a more nuanced assessment of the probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, the prediction market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange shares, the price converges towards a consensus view. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's accuracy. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a specific result in the White Sox vs. Guardians game.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the game between the Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Guardians, as reported by a major sports news source. The market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, starting pitcher changes, or weather forecasts could shift the odds. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either the White Sox or the Guardians will also likely impact trading activity. Major announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the market to move quickly.