TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their lines, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. As such, the odds here may reflect a more unbiased assessment of the probabilities, potentially identifying discrepancies where the public’s perception differs from the informed predictions of market participants. It's common to see differences, especially as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the game between the White Sox and the Guardians, as reported by a major sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in the starting pitchers, or significant weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even broader team dynamics, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the odds to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential movements in this market.