TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Chicago: 2+
- Kalshi
Chicago: 2+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 01h:45m:30s
$
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many times they successfully kick the ball through the uprights during play. The outcome depends on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of these scoring plays.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by each team during the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) for the number of field goals a team must score for that particular market to resolve to Yes. The markets cover both Chicago and Seattle, with separate thresholds for each team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the incentive structures of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possible result. Currently, the most actively traded outcome is Seattle: 3+ Field Goals.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by both the Chicago and Seattle teams during the game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the Chicago vs Seattle field goal market. Late-breaking news regarding key players – such as injuries to kickers or changes in weather conditions – could significantly shift expectations. Game-day performance, including early scoring drives or defensive struggles, will also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or changes in game strategy could further contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ offensive capabilities or the likelihood of scoring opportunities has the potential to move this market.