TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Caleb Williams: 10+
- Kalshi
Caleb Williams: 10+ - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 05h:37m:32s
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This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game, focusing on their ability to achieve certain rushing yard thresholds. Bettors can speculate on whether the players will meet or exceed these benchmarks during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing yards accumulated by the specified player (Sam Darnold or Caleb Williams) in the Chicago vs Seattle professional football game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. If the named player is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing yards recorded during the game. Markets are structured at ascending yardage thresholds (e.g., 5+, 10+, up to 60+), with each threshold representing a separate outcome. All markets are independent, and no market influences the resolution of another. The governing league’s official statistics will be the sole source for determining rushing yard totals.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that might not be immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that are more accurate or that react more quickly to new information. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new developments – like injury reports or weather forecasts – become available, influencing traders' assessments of likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for both teams in the Chicago versus Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key players on either team – particularly running backs or offensive linemen – such as injuries or changes in playing time, would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions on game day, specifically rain or snow, could also influence the rushing game and therefore the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to shifts in the odds for this market.