TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Caleb Williams: 2+
- Kalshi
Caleb Williams: 2+ - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 05h:59m:15s
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This event tracks how often specific players attempt to run with the ball during an upcoming football game between Chicago and Seattle. The focus is on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage in the game's offensive strategy.
All markets in this event resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for November 2, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves the stated threshold of rushing attempts (15+, 18+, or 21+ for D'Andre Swift, and 2+, 5+, or 8+ for Caleb Williams), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets within this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against predetermined benchmarks.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade contracts, meaning the price can shift rapidly based on new information or changing sentiment. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as game day approaches and more data becomes available. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely number of rushing attempts in the game.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics provided by the NFL and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing attempts total will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the expected game script – for example, if the weather forecast calls for heavy rain, it might suggest a greater emphasis on running plays. News regarding offensive line changes or coaching strategies could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or team tactics are likely to cause shifts in the market price leading up to Nov 3, 2026.