TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional NWSL soccer match between Chicago and Seattle Reign scheduled for October 18, 2026. The market focuses on determining whether Chicago wins, Seattle Reign wins, or the game ends in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result is based solely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Chicago vs Seattle Reign professional NWSL soccer game scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Chicago wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Chicago' market resolves to Yes. If Seattle Reign wins under the same conditions, the 'Seattle Reign' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution exclusively considers the outcome after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can be due to varying levels of information, differing interpretations, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. The goal is to create a market where prices accurately reflect the true likelihood of each possible result in the Chicago vs Seattle Reign match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Chicago vs Seattle Reign match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed of any potential developments.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the match could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also drive trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market and potentially capitalize on new information as it becomes available.