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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Kalshi
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 02h:51m:02s
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This event tracks the number of receptions by specific players in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Seattle. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain level of performance, with payouts scaling based on the actual number of receptions recorded. The structure allows for varied outcomes depending on individual player performance during the match.
The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each focused on a different player’s receptions in the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the specified player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 20 receptions. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and are constrained between $0.00 and $1.00. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; eleven receptions would result in a Yes payout of $0.55 and a No payout of $0.45; zero receptions would yield a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves to Yes if the specified player records any receptions, with the payout determined by the exact number of receptions recorded.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the game and individual player performances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own predictions, leading to dynamic price movements. The market efficiently incorporates available information, offering a real-time assessment of potential player performance.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official reception statistics from the Chicago versus Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for each relevant player will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100 cents and which settle at 0 cents. The resolution will reflect the official game data, providing a clear and objective outcome for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions impacting the passing game could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player availability, even up to game time, would likely cause substantial movement. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also impact trading activity and influence the price of contracts in this market.