TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Luther Burden III: 2+
- Kalshi
Luther Burden III: 2+ - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 07h:03m:56s
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The markets focus on the number of receptions recorded by specific players in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Seattle. Each market tracks a different player's performance threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether the player will meet or exceed a certain number of receptions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions recorded by the specified player in the Chicago vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. If the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for each player and reception threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. Observing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, as both sources offer unique insights into the potential for the Chicago vs Seattle game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher reception total for a team, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals for both the Chicago and Seattle teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the actual number of receptions made by each team during the game, and contracts corresponding to the correct range will pay out to their holders.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Chicago or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trading activity. Even pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated player projections could cause shifts in this market as traders adjust their forecasts.