TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
D'Andre Swift: 2+
- Kalshi
D'Andre Swift: 2+ - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 03h:35m:01s
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This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game between Chicago and Seattle. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the full game, including any overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required number of receptions. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full game receptions including overtime.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets are often more accurate at forecasting probabilities, especially when there's significant public information available. However, both can be influenced by breaking news, injuries, or shifts in public perception about the likely outcome of the game and the performance of key players.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the latest insights. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, indicates the volume of contracts available at various price points, providing insight into potential price movements and the strength of conviction behind different outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals, as recorded by official sources, will determine the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. All contracts corresponding to the actual number of receptions will pay out $1.00, while those representing different totals will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or the quarterbacks for either the Chicago or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could also affect the price of contracts in this market.