TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Kalshi
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 12h:18m:08s
$
The contest measures receiving yard totals for designated players in a professional football matchup. Payments increase proportionally with each player's cumulative receiving yards.
Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per receiving yard achieved by the named player, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payments scale proportionally with position size. The market resolves to Yes irrespective of yardage, with payouts determined by actual performance. Kalshi states no connection to the NFL.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional betting lines. Examining both can provide a comprehensive view of expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in specific outcomes, providing insight into the perceived value of each contract. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals for the Chicago vs Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for all eligible receivers will be aggregated to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics published by the relevant sports league. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual outcome of the game, as determined by the official statistics.
Several factors could influence this market. Injury reports for key receivers on either team are significant catalysts, as are changes in weather forecasts that could impact passing game strategies. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or shifts in defensive schemes could also move the market. News regarding receiver matchups or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player health or game plans will likely be reflected in trading activity, causing the odds to adjust as traders react to the latest developments.